Remnants of Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor to cause wet end of weekend

PHILADELPHIA — Get ready for rain on Sunday, after a beautiful start to this fall weekend.

Tropical Storm Nestor, off Florida’s “big bend” area, should make landfall Saturday afternoon and cause “wind and coastal flooding hazards along the U.S. east coast,” according to the National Hurricane Center.

At 11am Saturday, Nestor had maximum sustained winds of 50 mph and was moving east-northeast at 9 mph.

edited from National Hurricane Center

“No strengthening is anticipated before Nestor moves inland. … Some slight weakening will occur after.

“Despite the earlier erratic motion, the latest NHC track model guidance remains in very good agreement on post-tropical Nestor moving northeastward and accelerating over the next 36 hours or so, followed by a turn toward the east once the cyclone reaches the North Carolina Outer Banks.”

“Gale-force winds are expected develop … across the mid-Atlantic U.S. coastal waters on Sunday. The extratropical cyclone is expected to dissipate or merge with a cold front in about four days or sooner.”

edited from National Hurricane Center

The center of what’s left of Nestor may not be close to the Philadelphia region, and Sunday’s high temperature is forecast to be in the high 50s, but wind and waves from the storm — turning counter-clockwise — will still have an affect far away.

This graphic will update, and so will graphics at this link.

The hurricane center also says any non-tropical watches and warnings will be issued by local National Weather Service offices.

Early Saturday afternoon, the only advisories in our area were off the coast:

from National Weather Service, click for updates and details

  • Gale Watch, from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening, for up to 290 miles off the coast, from Little Egg Inlet, NJ, to Fenwick Island, DE. There could be northeast winds 39-54 mph with higher gusts. Seas 5 to 8 feet. A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 39-54 mph has significantly increased, but the specific timing and/or location is still uncertain.
  • Gale Warning from 20 to 250 miles off the coast of Monmouth County, NJ, all the way down to Florida. This means sustained surface winds, or frequent gusts, in the range of 39-54 mph, either predicted or occurring, and not directly associated with a tropical cyclone.

This is the Philadelphia area forecast, from Saturday through Monday.

from National Weather Service, click for updates and details
11am Saturday, from National Hurricane Center

Charity Navigator set up a Hurricane Dorian page, showing more than a dozen highly-rated organizations providing aid and relief.

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