PHILADELPHIA — Tropical Storm Fay formed just off North Carolina’s Outer Banks at 5pm Thursday, and the New Jersey shore is under a Tropical Storm Warning.
Now, the entire Philadelphia region can expect a day of heavy, flooding rain and gusty winds.
The National Hurricane Center reports reconnaissance aircraft found sustained winds of 45mph near the storm’s center. That’s about
- 40 miles ENE of Cape Hatteras, N.C.,
- 195 miles south of Ocean City, Md.,
- 240 miles south of Cape May, and
- 270 miles south of Atlantic City.
Fay is moving north near 7 mph. North to NNE movement is expected over the next couple of days, and at a faster forward speed.
That would put the storm’s center near the New Jersey coast, Friday; and move inland over Long Island and New England, Saturday.
Some slight strengthening is forecast, Thursday night and Friday. Then, Fay should start weakening after the center moves inland on Saturday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles of the center, primarily to the east and southeast.
The National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Storm Warning in New Jersey for Cape Map, Atlantic, southeastern Burlington, Ocean, Monmouth and Middlesex counties.
A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
With Fay approaching our area, heavy rain is possible beginning very late Thursday and continuing through Friday evening.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the warning area, Friday — and spread northward through the warning area, Friday night — but forecasters say the threat is very low except right along the New Jersey coast.
The National Weather Service says those winds could break many large tree limbs, blow over some fences and road signs, and lead to scattered power and communications outages.
Fay is expected to produce 3 to 5 inches of rain along the shore, from the mid-Atlantic states into southeast New York and southern New England. The heaviest rains could lead to flash flooding.
Along and southeast of the I-95 corridor, there could be locally hazardous amounts of rain, and possible tornadoes across New Jersey and southeastern Pennsylvania.
Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. Never drive on a flooded road.